Oscar 2013-14 – predicting the winners

I have been under the weather lately, and even had to cancel Thursday and Friday classes. Because I don’t normally get sick often, the roughly once-every-two-years happening always hits me like a ton of bricks.

Something that happens once every year is the Academy Awards Ceremony. The 2014 show (which honors the previous year’s movies, a naming quirk that has always confused me), is this Sunday. I just watched “Nebraska,” the Alexander Payne (“Sideways”)-directed, father-son road movie that garnered six Oscar nominations, including one for Best Picture. It is a good little film, but my point is that once again I’ve managed to see just about every nominated film before the live broadcast. The only nominee I’m missing is “August: Osage County.”

Here are my predictions on who will – and who should – win Oscars tonight. I am only an amateur but I seem to have a knack for this sort of thing. Last year I correctly guessed five of the six winners in the Picture, Director, and Acting categories. I hope to improve upon that number in 2014!

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Top Ten Films of 2013

A week ago I posted my reactions to this year’s list of Academy Award nominees; the post included my initial predictions as well as my insights as to why some films or actors may have been snubbed over others. After all, there are always a few surprises.

You can read the post here. A couple of readers inquired about my “Top Ten Movies” list for the year. I recited a few favorite films off the top of my head, but never compiled an exact list. Top ten lists, however, are essentially a prerequisite for any film critic, even an amateur such as myself. So without further ado – and noting that I haven’t seen every 2013 film on my wish list – here’s my (pending) list.

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Oscar Nominations 2013-14 – predictions vs. reactions

This is my second consecutive year predicting the nominees via my blog, though I’ve been informally making these predictions for perhaps 15 years now, with a 75% degree of accuracy on average. If I was a Vegas odds-maker in this category I’d likely make a small fortune. Then again, there are categories like Best Director – 2012-13, where I only predicted two of the five eventual nominees correct.  Stranger things have happened….

Because I took a few weeks off from blogging, I never got around to writing a specific “predictions” post. As such, I’ll combine my predictions and my reactions in a single entry, below. The nominations were announced yesterday morning. My predictions were made in advance, and I suppose there’s no way of proving that I didn’t just make them up today to make myself look good. Honor system. Really. 🙂

Best Picture

My predictions (in alphabetical order):
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street
12 Years a Slave

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